Quote:
Originally Posted by Adeste Fideles
Its your call. You can compare with 2007 (last local election) as you are doing or you can compare with 2011 (last assembly election) as I am doing. It depends if you are looking at this as popularity for a "yes" vote or popularity of councilors. As a voter for over 35 years I can tell you that I, like most people, generally vote either for the party I vote nationally or I protest vote in some way or I vote for an independent popular local candidate. From this poll, using my methodology, the SNP popularity has collapsed from winning over 50% of assembly seats in 2011 to just 32% of vote now. For them to win over 50% of a referendum in 2014 is going to take some amazing 24 months of electioneering without any skeletons in the cupboard coming out. Unless Cameron goes doladie I'm pretty sure the union is safe.
|
I don't know what this "assembly" you keep referring to is but any scientific analysis requires comparison of like with like - in this case, local govt elections in STV in 2007 v local govt elections by STV in 2012. Also, despite your behaviour of 35 years as a voter (pretty much the same length of time I have been voting - my first was cast in the '75 referendum), it, by itself, is not representative of anything but you.